The promise that artificial intelligence (AI) would function strictly as a productivity enhancer is beginning to be challenged by concrete data in the Brazilian labor market. A novel study conducted by researcher Daniel Duque of FGV Ibre indicates that the technology is already eroding job positions and flattening incomes, disproportionately affecting the younger population.Utilizing data from IBGE's Pnad Contínua, the research compared workers with similar profiles before and after the popularization of generative AI, which began in late 2022. The findings indicate that Brazilians aged 18 to 29 working in highly technology-exposed sectors — such as finance and information services — currently have a 5% lower probability of employment than they would in a scenario without this level of automation.The impact is not limited solely to job availability; it also affects earnings. Analyzing the group most exposed to AI tools, the survey observed a relative wage loss compared to less affected occupations. This phenomenon suggests that the pace of cognitive task substitution is, in the short term, outpacing the market's capacity to absorb this workforce into new roles.With information from Olhar Digital.
Source · Olhar Digital
